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NATESC predicts: growth in overall pesticide output slows down obviously in 2017 China
Jan. 4, 2017
Guo thinks that to ensure the realization of the target of zero growth in the application volume of pesticides by 2020, in 2017, Chinese agriculture will strengthen the professional and unified prevention and control as well as the promotion and application of green prevention and control technologies. Thus, without large-area breakout of diseases and pests, the total demand volume of pesticides will not change much.
However, the market demand and prices of different pesticides will be under the influence of factors like agricultural produce price, adjustment in planting structure, pesticide inventory, prices of chemical raw materials and pressure from environmental protection.
Total demand volume of pesticides in 2017 to drop over 2016. According to the rough forecast analysis by 31 provincial plant protection systems nationwide, the total national pesticide demand volume in 2017 is 920,000 tonnes, which is around 300,000 tonnes calculated by 100% technical, 2% less than that in last year. On the whole, the change in the market demand in 2017 is similar with that in 2016: that for insecticides drops, that for fungicides grows and that for herbicides keeps stable or slightly climbs up.
It is predicted that there are six pesticides with the national pesticide demand volume exceeding 10,000 tonnes, including glyphosate and dichlorvos. Compared with that in 2016, chlorpyrifos and mancozeb, maneb, metiram, zineb will be excluded. In addition, the application volume of bio-pesticides is predicted to go up.
Table 1: Six pesticides with predicted national pesticide demand volume exceeding 10,000 tonnes in 2017
|
No.
|
Product
|
|
1
|
Glyphosate
|
|
2
|
Dichlorvos
|
|
3
|
Acetochlor
|
|
4
|
Copper sulfate
|
|
5
|
Carbendazim
|
|
6
|
Atrazine
|
Source: Think Real
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