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South Africa forecast winter cereal area down 0.4% in 2015
Nov. 30, 2015
Department of Agriculture, Forestry and Fisheries of South Africa has released the area estimate and fourth production forecast for winter cereals for the 2015.
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Winter cereals – area planted estimate and fourth production forecast: 2015
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||||||
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Crop
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Area planted 2015 (Ha)
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4 th forecast 2015 (Tons)
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3 rd forecast
2015 (Tons)
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Area planted 2014 (Ha)
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Final crop
2014 (Tons)
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Change%
(production, 4th vs 3th forecast)
|
|
Wheat
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482,150
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1,505,290
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1,542,350
|
476,570
|
1,750,000
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-2.4
|
|
Malting barley
|
93,730
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349,487
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347,017
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85,125
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302,000
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+0.7
|
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Canola
|
78,050
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105,400
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105,400
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95,000
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121,000
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-
|
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Total/
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653,930
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1,960,177
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1,994,767
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656,695
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2,173,000
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-1.7
|
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Note: Estimate is for calendar year, e.g. production season 2015/16 = 2015
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Winter cereal crops - 2015 production season
Wheat: The expected commercial production of wheat is 1.505 million tons, which is 2.4% or 37,060 tons less than the previous forecast of 1.542 million tons, whilst the expected yield is 3.12 t/ha.
The expected production in the Western Cape is thus now 697,500 tons (46%), in the Northern Cape 262,800 tons (17%) and in the Free State 224,000 tons (15%).
The area estimate for wheat, malting barley and canola are 482,150 ha, 93,730 ha and 78,050 ha, respectively.
Other crops: The production forecast for malting barley is 349,487 tons, which is 2,470 tons more than the previous forecast of 347,017 tons. The area planted is estimated at 93,730 ha, while the expected yield is 3.73 t/ha.
The expected canola crop remained unchanged at 105,400 tons. The area estimate for canola is 78,050 ha, with an expected yield of 1.35 t/ha.
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Wheat – area planted estimate and fourth production forecast: 2015
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||||
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Province
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Area planted 2015 (Ha)
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4 th forecast 2015 (Tons)
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Area planted 2014 (Ha)
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Final crop
2014 (Tons)
|
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Western Cape
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310,000
|
697,500
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310,000
|
899,000
|
|
Northern Cape
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36,000
|
262,800
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38,000
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285,000
|
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Free State
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80,000
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224,000
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69,500
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245,500
|
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Eastern Cape
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3,100
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14,880
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3,000
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12,000
|
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KwaZulu-Natal
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7,300
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41,610
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6,500
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39,000
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Mpumalanga
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3,500
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20,300
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3,500
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21,350
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Limpopo
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27,000
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151,200
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27,500
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137,500
|
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Gauteng
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250
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1,500
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570
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3,550
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North West
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15,000
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91,500
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18,000
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107,100
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Total
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482,150
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1,505,290
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476,570
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1,750,000
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